Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.322902 1.501199 1.695770 1.924045 2.184766 2.473540 2.818027
2026-01-18 1.040152 1.280066 1.564789 1.928419 2.381693 2.929663 3.644772
2026-01-25 0.867476 1.128576 1.456837 1.901451 2.490513 3.247752 4.300765
2026-02-01 0.740468 1.007400 1.358972 1.858409 2.553815 3.493880 4.871373
2026-02-08 0.645079 0.911890 1.277611 1.818947 2.605820 3.717074 5.421597
2026-02-15 0.585816 0.857119 1.242605 1.834800 2.729856 4.045239 6.149056
2026-02-22 0.530624 0.800805 1.197345 1.827358 2.813925 4.317360 6.815759
2026-03-01 0.480036 0.745250 1.146210 1.803210 2.866139 4.541102 7.425011
2026-03-08 0.427457 0.680931 1.074628 1.738182 2.844279 4.641742 7.839443
2026-03-15 0.394302 0.643843 1.041630 1.730568 2.912654 4.891786 8.526495
2026-03-22 0.382085 0.639344 1.060121 1.808838 3.131000 5.411595 9.735565
2026-03-29 0.355990 0.609050 1.032748 1.805452 3.206308 5.689448 10.537254
2026-04-05 0.337035 0.592020 1.030971 1.855334 3.397532 6.222026 11.933723
2026-04-12 0.311711 0.561875 1.004443 1.859983 3.510946 6.634141 13.174718
2026-04-19 0.285086 0.526395 0.964298 1.834011 3.561843 6.931427 14.224659
2026-04-26 0.259566 0.490243 0.919001 1.792569 3.576497 7.157410 15.155393
2026-05-03 0.237386 0.458147 0.877986 1.754571 3.592656 7.386369 16.120848
2026-05-10 0.223715 0.441185 0.864352 1.769836 3.719674 7.858431 17.684217
2026-05-17 0.208925 0.420505 0.841229 1.762670 3.797629 8.233905 19.079272
2026-05-24 0.193934 0.397957 0.812093 1.739418 3.837333 8.529112 20.326135
2026-05-31 0.176654 0.369038 0.767061 1.676799 3.781547 8.601849 21.044432
2026-06-07 0.165955 0.353091 0.747883 1.669467 3.851317 8.972161 22.554116
2026-06-14 0.163069 0.353746 0.764426 1.744837 4.123663 9.854870 25.503982